Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop
Company makes 3rd cut to renewables business outlook this year
Reduces both margin and volume outlook
Weaker diesel market hits biofuel rates
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By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto
HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel service for the third time this year due to falling prices and likewise decreased its expected sales volumes, sending out the business's share cost down 10%.
Neste said a drop in the rate of routine diesel had affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock remained high.
A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce renewable diesel has created a of low-emissions biofuels, hammering revenue margins for refiners and threatening to hinder the nascent industry.
Neste in a statement slashed the expected average equivalent sales margin of its renewables unit to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.
The company now also expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had anticipated given that the start of the year, it added.
A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now anticipated to sell between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste stated.
"Renewable items' prices have been negatively affected by a substantial reduction in (the) diesel rate during the 3rd quarter," Neste said in a statement.
"At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock prices have actually not reduced and renewable product market cost premiums have remained weak," the company included.
Industry executives and analysts have actually said rapidly expanding Chinese biodiesel producers are seeking brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have actually announced they are pausing expansion plans in Europe.
While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable air travel fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable influence on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel price was to be expected, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski said.
Neste's share price had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)